Oceans are heating,
not the atmosphere       
Global Warming  
not caused by carbon dioxide   
 
    
Gary Novak
Independent Scientist

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Crunching the Numbers
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Details Explained
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Context


IPCC Propaganda

"Delicate Balance" Fraud

The 41% Fraud

A Fake Mechanism

Global Dynamic

How can all those
scientists be wrong

Peer review is a sham

A Look at Modeling

Logic Error

Propaganda

The Misconception

Global Cooling by CO2

               

The Water Vapor Fraud

Water vapor is used as a multiplying factor, which is fraud

 

Supposedly, only 0.2°C temperature increase is due to CO2, but it causes more water to evaporate, which multiplies the result to 0.6°C. If multiplying were possible, there would be thermal runaway, as all temperature increases would have to be multiplied. Every calorie of heat does the same thing.

If water vapor is doing most of the heating, why replace carbon dioxide with water vapor in tailpipes and smoke stacks? Because the propagandists couldn’t care less whether carbon dioxide exists; they are fighting a war against the lower classes by making energy and transportation less available. Otherwise they wouldn’t be shutting down coal plants and replacing them with cryogenic natural gas and obstructing nuclear energy.


Water vapor (which is 100 times as much of a greenhouse gas as CO2) can change by a factor of 2 from day to day. CO2 changes by 2 ppm (parts per million) per year. That's 36,500,000,000 times as much change by water vapor as by CO2. A 1°C temperature change due to CO2 in 20 years (0.000137°C per day) would require a 5,000,000°C change due to water vapor from day to day and place to place, if propagandists were producing a consistent logic. Of course, radiation would deplete first, but still, water vapor would swamp anything CO2 does based on the logic of propagandists, and it means there is no "delicate balance" being upset by humans. Delicate Balance Fraud

 

Part 1. What Water Vapor Does

Water vapor creates a hundred times as much "greenhouse" effect as carbon dioxide, because there are about 30 times as many water vapor molecules in the air, while water vapor has three times as much bandwidth which can absorb infrared radiation. Bandwidth means the width of the absorption peaks where frequency of absorption is plotted.

And water vapor is highly variable, which means it swamps anything carbon dioxide does. It enters the atmosphere through evaporation, which varies with temperature and wind; and it leaves the atmosphere through precipitation, which varies with conditions.

A one percent change in water vapor would swamp the entire effect by carbon dioxide, because water vapor is doing a hundred times as much of the same thing. But this result would only be relevant if greenhouse gasses actually were creating global warming. The fact that it can be ignored demonstrates that greenhouse gasses are not creating global warming.

Neither water vapor nor carbon dioxide are relevant to global warming, because they absorb all infrared radiation available to them in such a short distance that an increase only shortens the distance rather than increasing the heat. Carbon dioxide absorbs to extinction in 10 meters. Doubling the amount of CO2 in the air would cause it to absorb all radiation available to it in 5 meters instead of 10. Water vapor would absorb to extinction in less than a meter, but I haven't seen an actual figure.

The whole reason why the global warming concept began 150 years ago is because it was observed that miniscule quantities of carbon dioxide absorb a large amount of infrared radiation in a short distance. In other words, the first 50 ppm (parts per million) of CO2 in the air does most of what CO2 does, and the next 334 ppm only shortens the distance required to absorb all available infrared radiation.

Part 2. Amplification Fraud

Since propagandists can't get enough mileage out of carbon dioxide alone (Stretching all of the numbers only gives them a 0.6°C temperature increase.), they fall back on another fraud to amplify the amount. They say that most of the heat is not produced by the carbon dioxide directly but by water vapor created by carbon dioxide. A small amount of heat is supposedly multiplied by water vapor, because heat causes water to evaporate. (They use the word "forcing" when they refer to this effect.)

Such a multiplier effect cannot occur, because it would create thermal runaway. The multiplied heat due to water vapor would cause more water to vaporize, which would create more heat and cause more water to vaporize, etc. The rationalization for thermal runaway is that only one cycle can occur before the heat escapes into space; but that explanation is not logical. There is no such thing as a cycle. A calorie of heat does the same thing at an increase of 0.1°C as for an increase of 20°C.

If small amounts of heat were multiplied, natural variations would also be multiplied, and small effects by humans would disappear in the natural variations. There are many causes of natural variation including seasons, latitude, tilt and eccentricity of the earth's orbit, variations in solar energy or volcanoes in the ocean.

Look at the ridiculous quantities. Humans are said to have increased global temperatures by 0.6°C. If most of that was due to increased water vapor, how much due to CO2? Maybe 0.2°C. Now compare that to natural variations. Night to day variations are typically 17°C. Seasonal variations are typically 60°C. Localized effects vary wildly between the equator and poles. Then there are random variations in such things as the Gulf Stream in the Atlantic Ocean which heats Europe. If each temperature increase was multiplied by a factor of 3-10 due to more water vapor, there would be explosions of heat everywhere. You can't just limit the multiplication to the 0.2°C which humans supposedly produce.

Here's another concept. A multiplier would respond more to the greatest increases, which are the natural ones, than to the long term average of humans. This would be like hitting someone on the head. A lethal blow cannot be diminished by averaging it with several small hits. Or it's like the average income in a bar. When Bill Gates walks in, the average income increases by 10,000%. Average is a human construct, not something nature sees. If multiplying temperature were possible, it would respond a lot more to the large changes than the small, average change produced by humans. But the whole concept of multiplying temperature is absurd to a point of scientific fraud.

There is also a problem with the supposed mechanism of water vapor amplifying the effect of carbon dioxide. A small amount of heat resulting from carbon dioxide would not increase evaporation of water significantly, because air has low heat capacity compared to water, and the heat of vaporization is high. Warmer air holds more water vapor, but this is not the same thing as increasing the water vapor. Increasing the holding capacity is reducing the relative humidity, which would reduce precipitation; but global precipitation is increasing—the real reason being that oceans are heating, not the atmosphere.

In other words, throughout the global warming hype, fraud is built endlessly upon fraud.

Such extreme fraud obviously requires motives. The agitators are population controllers who feel humans are using too many resources, and their answer is to shove people out of the economy. They feel that lying is justifiable for that purpose. So they start at the end point of claiming humans are creating a problem with carbon dioxide, and then they work backwards to rationalize the claim through fraud.